Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31? — ↑ 45%

19% chance

Yes19%

Buy Yes19¢20¢ after fees

No81%

Buy No82¢83¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $9.0K
24h: $527
Liquidity: $16.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes19%—19¢

19¢20¢ after fees

No82%—82¢

82¢83¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 19¢: exit costs ~0.62¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance's hourly odds value in the "2028 Republican Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 45% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarket…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Vance's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026