US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...? — December 31

    86% chance

    Yes86%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes86¢no fee
    No14%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo15¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $10.0K
    24h
    $1
    Liquidity
    $2.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes86%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US86¢no fee
    No15%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 86¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-l…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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