US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...? — November 30

    11% chance

    Yes11%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes11¢no fee
    No89%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo90¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $9.0K
    24h
    $15
    Liquidity
    $13.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes11%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢no fee
    No90%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oi…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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