US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...? — December 31

    27% chance

    Yes27%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes27¢no fee
    No73%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo74¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $144.9K
    24h
    $14
    Liquidity
    $11.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes27%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US27¢no fee
    No74%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US74¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 27¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oi…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics