US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...? — December 31, 2027

22% chance

Yes22%

Buy Yes23¢no fee

No78%

Buy No79¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $1.4K
24h: $131
Liquidity: $4.1K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes22%—23¢

23¢no fee

No78%—79¢

79¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by...?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027