U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by...? — December 31, 2026

    3% chance

    Yes3%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes3¢no fee
    No97%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo98¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $78.7K
    24h
    $507
    Liquidity
    $16.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes3%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US3¢no fee
    No98%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US98¢no fee

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 3¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will no…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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