US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? — November 30

    12% chance

    Yes12%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes12¢no fee
    No88%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo89¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $873.9K
    24h
    $45.4K
    Liquidity
    $79.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US12¢no fee
    No89%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US89¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran. A qualifying…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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