US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? — December 31

31% chance

Yes31%

Buy Yes31¢no fee

No69%

Buy No70¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $705.2K
24h: $4.2K
Liquidity: $145.2K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes31%—31¢

31¢no fee

No70%—70¢

70¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 31¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran. A qualifying…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026