us defaults on debt on 2027-12-31
US defaults on debt by 2027?
us defaults on debt on 2027-12-31. Best Yes near 4¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.
Best Yes: 4¢ · Best No: 98¢ · 1 platform
- Polymarket: Yes 4¢ / No 98¢

US defaults on debt by 2027?
$18.2K
$116 24h
1
Cross-platform pricing
Resolves Dec 31, 2026
~108 days left
Economics
Opens on best-price platform
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1 platform
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Price History
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
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