us defaults on debt on 2027-12-31

    US defaults on debt by 2027?

    us defaults on debt on 2027-12-31. Best Yes near 4¢ across 1 platform. Live cross-platform prices. Not financial advice.

    Best Yes: 4¢ · Best No: 98¢ · 1 platform

    • Polymarket: Yes 4¢ / No 98¢
    TRADING OPEN

    US defaults on debt by 2027?

    Volume

    $18.2K

    $116 24h

    Platforms

    1

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Dec 31, 2026

    ~108 days left

    Category

    Economics

    CHANCE OF YES3%97%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    98¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    1 platform
    polymarket
    Polymarket
    Best Yes
    Best No
    Yes
    4¢
    No
    98¢
    Vol
    $18.2K
    $116 24h

    Deposit $10, get $20 Trading Bonus for New Signups

    Price History

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    About This Market

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PolymarketPolymarketat 4¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Dec 31, 2026
    Time Left108 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryEconomics

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