U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by...? — December 31, 2027

    24% chance

    Yes24%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes25¢no fee
    No76%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo78¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2027
    Volume
    $1.5K
    24h
    $193
    Liquidity
    $6.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

    Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

    Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes24%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US25¢no fee
    No77%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US78¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will no…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Fri, December 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

    In the news

    Discussion

    Sign in to join the discussion

    Sign In

    More in Politics

    All Politics