Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? — June 30, 2027

    21% chance

    Yes21%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes22¢no fee
    No79%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo80¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jun 30, 2027
    Volume
    $1.8K
    24h
    $663
    Liquidity
    $9.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes21%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US22¢no fee
    No79%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US80¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 22¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalizatio…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, June 30, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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