Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...? — December 31, 2026

7% chance

Yes7%

Buy Yes7¢no fee

No93%

Buy No94¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $3.0M
24h: $1.2K
Liquidity: $75.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes7%—7¢

7¢no fee

No94%—94¢

94¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 7¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalizatio…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026