Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...? — December 31, 2026

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes7¢no fee

No95%

Buy No97¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $108.7K
24h: $11
Liquidity: $37.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—7¢

7¢no fee

No95%—97¢

97¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, thi…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026