SNL: Lorne Michaels' successor for showrunner — Tina Fey

37% chance

Yes37%

Buy Yes38¢40¢ after fees

No63%

Buy No64¢66¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes37%—38¢

38¢40¢ after fees

No63%—64¢

64¢66¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 38¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If Tina Fey is announced to be succeeding Lorne Michaels as showrunner of SNL before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.