Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31? — ↑ 8%

16% chance

Yes16%

Buy Yes17¢18¢ after fees

No84%

Buy No85¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $13.2K
24h: $1.5K
Liquidity: $11.4K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes16%—17¢

17¢18¢ after fees

No84%—85¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 17¢: exit costs ~0.56¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Shapiro's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds 8% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMar…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026