Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...? — November 17

    88% chance

    Yes88%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes96¢no fee
    No12%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo20¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 17, 2026
    Volume
    $283
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $375
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes88%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US96¢no fee
    No12%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US20¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 96¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia, the Saudi-led coalition, or Yemen’s internationally recognized government takes a qualifying military action in Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, the Saudi-led coalition, or Yemen’s intern…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Tue, November 17, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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