CA-49 House winner? (2028) — Republican party

4% chance

Yes4%

Buy Yes7¢8¢ after fees

No96%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Resolves: May 7, 2029
Volume: $7.2K
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

Sponsored · We may earn a commission · 18+ · Trade responsibly · 1-800-GAMBLER

Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes4%—7¢

7¢8¢ after fees

No96%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 7¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If the House member sworn in for the 49th District of California for the term beginning in 2029 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: CA-49 House winner? (2028)
Resolves: Mon, May 7, 2029