Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? — December 31

    11% chance

    Yes11%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes12¢no fee
    No89%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo90¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $251.3K
    24h
    $799
    Liquidity
    $17.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes11%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US12¢no fee
    No89%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US90¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 12¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen. “No lo…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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