Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...? — January 31, 2027

    78% chance

    Yes78%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes78¢no fee
    No22%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo23¢no fee
    Resolves
    Jan 31, 2027
    Volume
    $31.8K
    24h
    $559
    Liquidity
    $19.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes78%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US78¢no fee
    No22%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US23¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 78¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sun, January 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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