Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...? — October 31

14% chance

Yes14%

Buy Yes24¢no fee

No86%

Buy No96¢no fee

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $2.9K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $44

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes14%—24¢

24¢no fee

No86%—96¢

96¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan takes a qualifying military action against Afghanistan between this market’s creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Afghanistan Time (AFT). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Pakistan, that directly impacts Afghanistan. An air strike includes bombs, air-t…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026