Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15) — November 15

16% chance

Yes16%

Buy Yes16¢17¢ after fees

No84%

Buy No85¢86¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 17, 2026
Volume: $19
24h: $0

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes16%—16¢

16¢17¢ after fees

No85%—85¢

85¢86¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 16¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Nov 15, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)
Resolves: Tue, November 17, 2026