Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15) — November 10

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes5¢6¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No96¢97¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 17, 2026
Volume: $5.6K
24h: $700

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—5¢

5¢6¢ after fees

No96%—96¢

96¢97¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 5¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Nov 10, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)
Resolves: Tue, November 17, 2026