Next James Bond announced by...? — December 31, 2026

    87% chance

    Yes87%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes88¢89¢ after fees
    No13%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo15¢16¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $12.0K
    24h
    $425
    Liquidity
    $4.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US88¢89¢ after fees
    No13%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢16¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 88¢: exit costs ~0.53¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be of…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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