Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...? — November 23

28% chance

Yes28%

Buy Yes43¢44¢ after fees

No72%

Buy No88¢88¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 23, 2026
Volume: $1.8K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $256

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes28%—43¢

43¢44¢ after fees

No73%—88¢

88¢88¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Fo…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 23, 2026