Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...? — December 7

83% chance

Yes83%

Buy Yes84¢85¢ after fees

No17%

Buy No18¢19¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 7, 2026
Volume: $2.5K
24h: $543
Liquidity: $2.6K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes83%—84¢

84¢85¢ after fees

No17%—18¢

18¢19¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 84¢: exit costs ~0.54¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. Fo…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
Resolves: Mon, December 7, 2026