Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...? — November 30

    5% chance

    Yes5%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes6¢no fee
    No95%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo97¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $13.7K
    24h
    $294
    Liquidity
    $4.3K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes5%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US6¢no fee
    No95%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US97¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding p…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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