Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...? — December 31

    33% chance

    Yes33%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes33¢no fee
    No67%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo68¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $5.2K
    24h
    $4.5K
    Liquidity
    $5.9K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes33%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US33¢no fee
    No68%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US68¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 33¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be desig…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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