Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — November 30

    87% chance

    Yes87%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes88¢no fee
    No13%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo15¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $29.4K
    24h
    $5.8K
    Liquidity
    $14.6K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US88¢no fee
    No13%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US15¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 88¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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