Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — November 19

    72% chance

    Yes72%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes73¢no fee
    No28%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo29¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 19, 2026
    Volume
    $58.0K
    24h
    $6.1K
    Liquidity
    $4.5K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

    Deposit $10, get $25

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes72%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US73¢no fee
    No28%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US29¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

    Before you trade

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 73¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.…

    Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Event
    Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
    Resolves
    Thu, November 19, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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