Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...? — December 31

97% chance

Yes97%

Buy Yes99¢no fee

No3%

Buy No5¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $73.7K
24h: $2.3K
Liquidity: $11.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes97%—99¢

99¢no fee

No3%—5¢

5¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026