Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...? — November 23

    13% chance

    Yes13%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes14¢14¢ after fees
    No87%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo88¢88¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Nov 23, 2026
    Volume
    $3.3K
    24h
    $0
    Liquidity
    $2.1K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

    Polymarket USPolymarket USCFTC-regulated

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes13%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢14¢ after fees
    No87%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US88¢88¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 14¢: exit costs ~0.48¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of cap…

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    About this market

    Category
    Culture
    Resolves
    Mon, November 23, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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