Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? — New Hampshire

    84% chance

    Yes84%kalshiYes87¢88¢ after fees
    No16%kalshiNo20¢22¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Apr 1, 2028
    Volume
    $36.8K
    24h
    $0
    kalshiListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes84%—kalshi87¢88¢ after fees
    No17%—kalshi20¢22¢ after fees

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KalshiKalshiat 87¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢
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    How each venue settles it

    kalshiKalshi

    If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Sat, April 1, 2028
    kalshiCompared across 1 venue

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