NATO x Russia military clash by...? — November 30

3% chance

Yes3%

Buy Yes4¢no fee

No97%

Buy No97¢no fee

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $172.0K
24h: $7.2K
Liquidity: $40.3K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes3%—4¢

4¢no fee

No97%—97¢

97¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 4¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement betwee…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026