
NATO x Russia military clash by...? — December 31
11% chance
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- Volume
- $3.8M
- 24h
- $13.2K
- Liquidity
- $90.8K
Chance over time
Yes price, by venueDeposit $10, get $25
Trading bonus for new sign-ups.
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Signals
Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.
Every venue’s price
1 venueEach share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.
Before you trade
How each venue settles it
Polymarket (global)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between January 2, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NAT…
Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗About this market
- Category
- Politics
- Resolves
- Thu, December 31, 2026
In the news
Discussion
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