Guatemalan Congressional election winner? — Movimiento Semilla

20% chance

Yes20%

Buy Yes24¢26¢ after fees

No80%

Buy No84¢85¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Deposit $10, get $25

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes20%—24¢

24¢26¢ after fees

No80%—84¢

84¢85¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 24¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election is Movimiento Semilla, then the market resolves to Yes.