Kimi K4 released by…? — December 31, 2026

9% chance

Yes9%

Buy Yes10¢10¢ after fees

No91%

Buy No92¢92¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $23.9K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $2.5K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes9%—10¢

10¢10¢ after fees

No91%—92¢

92¢92¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 10¢: exit costs ~0.36¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: Kimi K4 released by…?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026