Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures) — December 31

    25% chance

    Yes25%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes25¢no fee
    No75%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo76¢no fee
    Resolves
    Dec 31, 2026
    Volume
    $427.0K
    24h
    $16.3K
    Liquidity
    $41.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Signals

    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes25%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US25¢no fee
    No76%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US76¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 25¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israeli Airspace (The Tel Aviv Flight Information Region (FIR)/LLLL) is closed between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying closure occurs when the aviation or governmental authority responsible for overseeing the specified airspace region issues a Notice to Airmen (NOTAM), or other official order under the…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Thu, December 31, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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