Israel military action against Iraq by...? — November 30

    12% chance

    Yes12%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes14¢no fee
    No88%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo91¢no fee
    Resolves
    Nov 30, 2026
    Volume
    $3.6K
    24h
    $297
    Liquidity
    $1.2K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

    Every venue’s price

    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes12%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US14¢no fee
    No89%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US91¢no fee

    Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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    Fee Impact at These Prices

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 14¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Iraq by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Iraq. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Mon, November 30, 2026
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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