Iran full airspace closure by...? — November 30

11% chance

Yes11%

Buy Yes11¢no fee

No89%

Buy No90¢no fee

Resolves: Nov 30, 2026
Volume: $337.0K
24h: $9.9K
Liquidity: $28.7K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes11%—11¢

11¢no fee

No90%—90¢

90¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualify…

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Iran full airspace closure by...?
Resolves: Mon, November 30, 2026