Iran full airspace closure by...? — December 31

19% chance

Yes19%

Buy Yes20¢no fee

No81%

Buy No82¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $1.0M
24h: $4.9K
Liquidity: $35.0K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes19%—20¢

20¢no fee

No81%—82¢

82¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 20¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualify…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Iran full airspace closure by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026