Government shutdown by...? — December 31

43% chance

Yes43%

Buy Yes44¢no fee

No57%

Buy No58¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $19.6K
24h: $2.0K
Liquidity: $34.8K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes43%—44¢

44¢no fee

No57%—58¢

58¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 44¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Government shutdown by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026