First snow of the 2026 season — New York City, NY by November 30

62% chance

Yes62%

Buy Yes70¢71¢ after fees

No38%

Buy No46¢47¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 3, 2026
Volume: $1.5K
24h: $25
Liquidity: $314

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes62%—70¢

70¢71¢ after fees

No38%—46¢

46¢47¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 70¢: exit costs ~1.05¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York City, NY records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for New York City, NY is measured only at station KNYC, which the National Weather Service reports as "CENTRAL PARK NY" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count.…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: First snow of the 2026 season
Resolves: Thu, December 3, 2026