First snow of the 2026 season — Chicago, IL by November 15

5% chance

Yes5%

Buy Yes6¢6¢ after fees

No95%

Buy No96¢96¢ after fees

Resolves: Nov 18, 2026
Volume: $3.3K
24h: $467
Liquidity: $196

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes5%—6¢

6¢6¢ after fees

No95%—96¢

96¢96¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 6¢: exit costs ~0.28¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records any snowfall on any day between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Snowfall for Chicago, IL is measured only at station KORD, which the National Weather Service reports as "CHICAGO-OHARE" in its Daily Climate Report. Observations from any other station or location do not count. Any amount o…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Culture
Event: First snow of the 2026 season
Resolves: Wed, November 18, 2026