European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? — December 31, 2027

25% chance

Yes25%

Buy Yes33¢no fee

No75%

Buy No83¢no fee

Resolves: Dec 31, 2027
Volume: $0
24h: $0
Liquidity: $433

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes25%—33¢

33¢no fee

No75%—83¢

83¢no fee

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

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Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 33¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract

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How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European country formally commits to giving Ukraine a security guarantee, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the relevant European country and the Government of Ukraine which creates a binding obligation for the relevant European country to defend or directly intervene on Ukraine’s behalf, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?
Resolves: Fri, December 31, 2027