Erdoğan out by...? — December 31, 2026

2% chance

Yes2%

Buy Yes2¢2¢ after fees

No98%

Buy No98¢98¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $661.3K
24h: $0
Liquidity: $43.9K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes2%—2¢

2¢2¢ after fees

No98%—98¢

98¢98¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 2¢: exit costs ~0.09¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/remova…

Full rules on Polymarket (global) ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Erdoğan out by...?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026