What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? — Duncan v. Bonta

6% chance

Yes6%

Buy Yes9¢10¢ after fees

No94%

Buy No98¢99¢ after fees

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes6%—9¢

9¢10¢ after fees

No95%—98¢

98¢99¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Kalshiat 9¢: exit costs ~1¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Kalshi

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Duncan v. Bonta before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.