Who will Trump pardon? — Donald Trump

68% chance

Yes68%

Buy Yes71¢73¢ after fees

No32%

Buy No35¢37¢ after fees

Resolves: Jan 21, 2029
Volume: $70.1K
24h: $7

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

Polymarket USCFTC-regulated

Deposit $10, get $25

Trading bonus for new sign-ups.

Claim offer 1 / 5

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes68%—71¢

71¢73¢ after fees

No32%—35¢

35¢37¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 71¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Donald Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules on Kalshi ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Who will Trump pardon?
Resolves: Sun, January 21, 2029