Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by March 31? — ↓ 50%

    10% chance

    Yes10%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USYes11¢11¢ after fees
    No90%Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USNo92¢92¢ after fees
    Resolves
    Mar 31, 2027
    Volume
    $7.0K
    24h
    $1.4K
    Liquidity
    $18.4K
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USListed on 1 venue

    Chance over time

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    Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

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    1 venue
    ChanceBest
    Yes10%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US11¢11¢ after fees
    No91%—Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the US92¢92¢ after fees

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    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarketat 11¢: exit costs ~0.39¢/contract
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    How each venue settles it

    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USPolymarket (global)

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Party" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com is equal to or below 50% for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and April 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column…

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    About this market

    Category
    Politics
    Resolves
    Wed, March 31, 2027
    Polymarket (global): price for reference, not tradable in the USCompared across 1 venue

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