Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine? — Iowa Iowa or Maine?

98% chance · down 2 pts today

Yes98%▼ 2

Buy Yes96¢fee unknown

No2%▲ 2

Buy No50¢fee unknown

Resolves: Mar 31, 2027
Volume: $271
24h: $34
Liquidity: $1.0K

Listed on 2 venues

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

2 venues

Chance

Best

Yes98%▼ 299¢96¢

96¢fee unknown

No2%▲ 24¢50¢

50¢fee unknown

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Polymarketat 99¢: exit costs ~0.03¢/contract

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Polymarket (global)

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Iowa" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Iowa has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Maine Senate election. This market will resolve to "Maine" if the regularly-scheduled US Senate race in Maine has a smaller unrounded margin of victory than that of the Iowa Senate election. If both s…

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Polymarket US

Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

Full rules on Polymarket US ↗

About this market

Category: Politics
Event: Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?
Resolves: Wed, March 31, 2027