120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? — Chris Van Hollen

57% chance

Yes57%

Buy Yes62¢64¢ after fees

No43%

Buy No47¢49¢ after fees

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026
Volume: $9.7K
24h: $3.2K

Listed on 1 venue

Chance over time

Yes price, by venue

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Signals

Quiet market: no big moves or venue gaps in the last 24 hours.

Every venue’s price

1 venue

Chance

Best

Yes57%—62¢

62¢64¢ after fees

No43%—47¢

47¢49¢ after fees

Each share pays $1 if it’s right. Green marks the cheapest venue after fees; every price opens that venue’s market.

Before you trade

Fee Impact at These Prices

Kalshiat 62¢: exit costs ~2¢/contract on a 1-contract order, rounded up to 1¢

Full calculator

How each venue settles it

Kalshi

If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for Senate Democratic leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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About this market

Category: Politics
Event: 120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
Resolves: Thu, December 31, 2026